Friday, October 17, 2008

Polls Credibility

"The polls usually show the Democrat ahead "Reviewing the polls printed in the New York Times and the Washington Post in the last month of every presidential election since 1976, I found the polls were never wrong in a friendly way to Republicans. When the polls were wrong, which was often, they overestimated support for the Democrat, usually by about 6 to 10 points. "
Added later: Sunday, October 19, 2008

Presidential Race Is Closer Than The Numbers Given In Major Polls
Source tells you how for decades, the polls have consistently overstated democratic support for a presidential candidate, in a uniform one-sided way & the Bradley Effect could be ten points according to analyst cited. The two in this case, may overlap considerably


Anonymous said...

Ive noted this privately for years. The polls a couple of days before the election are the one's the pollsters stake their professional reputations on, and those are the one's that are most honest.

The bias been there for years. People (especially women) will do what they think everyone else is doing, and vote for whom they think everyone else is voting for. In this sense, people can be rather lemming-like, which is a dissapointment to the thinking amongst us.

John S. Bolton said...

thanks for you comment it is appreciated, I remember it being this way for a very long time, always in favor of the leftward